Thursday, November 7, 2013

Alex Smith’s Kansas City Chiefs, Peyton Manning’s Indianapolis Colts, and Tom Brady’s New England Patriots

     When debating the value of Tom Brady and Peyton Manning, people often point to two seasons: New England Patriots’ 2008 season after Brady tore his ACL and the Indianapolis Colts’ 2011 season after Manning’s four neck surgeries. This is such a misused argument because people don’t refer to the situations. Lets dig in!
     First of all, Manning and Brady are two of the greatest quarterbacks to ever play. Which one is better than the other is a debate for another day but I personally have an extreme high level of respect for both. Now let’s examine:
     People say that Manning is more valuable because without him, his team went 2-14 and without Brady his team went 11-5. Thing is, it goes further than that.
     In the 2010 season, Manning’s last season in Indy, he took the Colts to a 10-6 record and one–and-done in the playoffs in the Wild Card round to the Mark Sanchez led Jets. In the 2011 season the Colts went 2-14. A lot of that did have to do with Manning’s absence but also the front office and other parts of the football team are responsible. First off, the front office. After news broke Manning would be out for the season the Colts front office turned to a very old journeyman quarterback in Kerry Collins who had no time to develop a rapport with the receivers or learn the system. That is just not a very smart move. Then there is the Colts defense. Out of the 16 games, 13 times they allowed more than 20 points including an astonishing 62 points to Drew Brees on Sunday Night Football. Overall, the defense allowed 26.9 points per game.  From Manning’s 2010 season to the embarrassing 2011 drubbing, the Colts had an 8 game drop-off due in part to Manning’s absence, poor front office and horrendous defense.
     On the flip side the New England Patriots went 16-0 the previous season in 2007 with Tom Brady at the helm and had a lot of carryover into the 2008 season. Randy Moss still in his prime, Wes Welker, and a lot of that record-breaking offense returned. The biggest factor that as different is that besides the Patriots front office panicking, they stuck with the backup quarterback they had in Matt Cassel, who was grooming under Brady and learning from him for three years so he had a rapport with his receivers and knew the system. Aside from that, the Patriots defense still had their core and leaders in Rodney Harrison and Tedy Bruschi and that group only surrendered 19.3 points per game. Therefore, that made Cassel’s job a lot easier. Even with all of that, the Patriots did not win their division. But Cassel did have the beneficiary of familiarity of the system and an excellent cast, a smart front office, and an exceptional coach in Bill Belichick. However he could not pull off the key wins Brady probably would have. Overall, the Patriots drop-off was a 5 game drop-off, not too far away from the 8 games Indy suffered.
     Another way to see this is that the 2012 Kansas City Chiefs were 2-14, the same as the Colts in 2011. However in 2013 through 9 games, they are 9-0 and most likely will total more than the 10 wins that the Colts had in 2010 with Manning. This is after they found their franchise quarterback in Alex Smith, so does that make Smith a better quarterback than Manning because he took his 2-14 further than Manning did? ABSOLUTELY NOT. This just shows that with Kansas City’s strong defense and masterful coaching from Andy Reid, things are just falling together. 

     This argument is not a Brady vs. Manning argument. I just wanted everybody to think more about the situations regarding the teams when you bring up which quarterback is more valuable to his team. Truth is, neither the Colts nor the Patriots would have tasted the success they did through the decade without #12 and #18.

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